CTA Positioning Poses Selloff Risk, Goldman Sachs Estimates

By EC Assets · Published

Commodity trading advisors (CTAs) currently demonstrate net buyer positioning in global equities. This positioning, Sachs, carries a lingering selloff risk. If a broader market downturn were to develop, existing CTA activity could amplify market weakness. Goldman's CTA models indicate that CTAs are long 95 yards of global equities. This includes 44 billion of capital. Higher volatility is expected as the market approaches the close. Financial positioning mechanisms, such as CTA trend-following, producer/consumer hedging ratios, and options skew, tend to amplify short-term market movements. This amplification is particularly notable in conditions of thin liquidity, where small headlines can have increased impact. Strong weekend tech earnings have pushed US stock indices higher, immediately reducing the risk premium in commodities. This eased supply disruption fears, sending both crude oil and gold lower. This article is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice.

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